With the increase in electricity prices, the coal price limit of the NDRC has also been introduced simultaneously. The control measures for coal prices mainly include the following aspects: First, the extent of the increase in contract coal prices is appropriately controlled. The increase in the price of key coal contracts in 2012 must not exceed 5% of the contract price in the previous year. The second is to impose a ceiling on the market for trading coal. From January 1, 2012, it is required that the maximum price of electric coal for the major ports in the Bohai Rim region, such as Qinhuangdao Port, to heat in the 5,500 kcal market shall not exceed 800 yuan per ton.
Qiu Shizhe, a researcher in the coal industry of China Investment Advisors, believes that this move of the National Development and Reform Commission will not help inhibit the rise in coal prices, nor will it effectively reduce the cost of coal for power plants. On the contrary, this move may distort the market supply mechanism and lead to more problems. One of the problems in the current coal market in China is that contract coal and market coal are in parallel, and the price of contract coal is far lower than market coal. The second problem is the intertwined operation of policies and markets. Although the domestic coal market has achieved market-oriented reforms, it has also been deeply influenced by government policies.
Currently, the coal price of the Bohai Rim market is around 850 yuan/ton. According to the NDRC's regulations, the prices need to be reduced to below 800 yuan/ton from January 1, 2012. Qiu Xizhe said that there is a greater difficulty, even if the surface price is reduced to 800 yuan / ton, the actual transaction price will not be as low as this level. The government's forced suppression of market prices will inevitably lead to an increase in coal demand, and the supply of coal will become more tense. Under such circumstances, the coal price will rise stronger. In order to circumvent the government's price limit, various underground transactions and illegal transactions will inevitably emerge in an endless stream.
Zhang Yanlin, research director of China Investment Consulting Co., Ltd., pointed out that the government's price-fixing order for coal is a measure to stop the disease and cannot fundamentally solve the problem of rising coal prices and serious losses in thermal power companies. From the coal market internal point of view, the contradiction between the contract coal and the market coal still exists; from the outside of the coal market, the contradiction between planned electricity and market coal still exists. These structural contradictions will not be alleviated by the introduction of the price limit order, but may be even more serious.
The “2011-2015 China Coal Industry Investment Analysis and Prospect Forecast Report†released by the China Investment Advisor shows that in recent years, due to strong domestic demand, coal prices have continued to climb. It is expected that this trend will extend to the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period. . In order to fundamentally solve the “coal shortage†problem, the government should actively rationalize the coal-electricity relationship and promote the sound development of the coal-fired power industry in accordance with the market's operating mechanism.
Qiu Shizhe, a researcher in the coal industry of China Investment Advisors, believes that this move of the National Development and Reform Commission will not help inhibit the rise in coal prices, nor will it effectively reduce the cost of coal for power plants. On the contrary, this move may distort the market supply mechanism and lead to more problems. One of the problems in the current coal market in China is that contract coal and market coal are in parallel, and the price of contract coal is far lower than market coal. The second problem is the intertwined operation of policies and markets. Although the domestic coal market has achieved market-oriented reforms, it has also been deeply influenced by government policies.
Currently, the coal price of the Bohai Rim market is around 850 yuan/ton. According to the NDRC's regulations, the prices need to be reduced to below 800 yuan/ton from January 1, 2012. Qiu Xizhe said that there is a greater difficulty, even if the surface price is reduced to 800 yuan / ton, the actual transaction price will not be as low as this level. The government's forced suppression of market prices will inevitably lead to an increase in coal demand, and the supply of coal will become more tense. Under such circumstances, the coal price will rise stronger. In order to circumvent the government's price limit, various underground transactions and illegal transactions will inevitably emerge in an endless stream.
Zhang Yanlin, research director of China Investment Consulting Co., Ltd., pointed out that the government's price-fixing order for coal is a measure to stop the disease and cannot fundamentally solve the problem of rising coal prices and serious losses in thermal power companies. From the coal market internal point of view, the contradiction between the contract coal and the market coal still exists; from the outside of the coal market, the contradiction between planned electricity and market coal still exists. These structural contradictions will not be alleviated by the introduction of the price limit order, but may be even more serious.
The “2011-2015 China Coal Industry Investment Analysis and Prospect Forecast Report†released by the China Investment Advisor shows that in recent years, due to strong domestic demand, coal prices have continued to climb. It is expected that this trend will extend to the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period. . In order to fundamentally solve the “coal shortage†problem, the government should actively rationalize the coal-electricity relationship and promote the sound development of the coal-fired power industry in accordance with the market's operating mechanism.
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